Global Crisis Watch 214

As we move into 2023, the year seems to be finding its groove. In Ukraine, US, Germany, France and UK are providing battle tanks and air-defence systems – but according to many report, not in the numbers that would have significant impact. President Zelensky has said that the war will be won this year – […]

Global Crisis Watch 212

And so we come to the end of another year. Every year is unique, but this one seems more unique than most. It is hardly surprising that the ‘Word of the Year’ as chosen by Collins Dictionary is ‘Permacrisis’. It may be seen in future years as either the start of a revolutionary change in […]

Global Crisis Watch 210

It used to be that December was the quiet run down to the end of the year when nothing happened and nobody really did anything. That seems to belong to a simpler and kinder world. It feel as though the pace of life is only increasing as we get to the end of 2022, and everyone […]

Global Crisis Watch 209

For those of us of a certain generation, ‘Winter of Discontent’ is a central memory of growing up in the 1970’s. It was a period of black-outs and doing homework by candlelight; three-day working week; rubbish mountains piling up in the street, and an atmosphere of confrontation between the government and the ‘workers’, often demonised […]

Global Crisis Watch 208

And so we reach December 2022. It feels like we are caught in a Dr Who programme, where someone is stealing half the year! I am not sure where the year went, but it has gone a lot faster than expected. In the news this week, protests in both China and Iran seem to be […]

Global Crisis Watch 207

My apologies for not setting up the Global Crisis Watch last week. I was in Ukraine, and I didn’t get round to it. It is probably a sign of my own weak management skills – but I can always comfort myself with the thought that at least they are better than Elon Musk’s. Having bought […]

Global Crisis Watch 206

The US mid-term elections took place this week (Tuesday), and just as small changes in weather patterns can indicate major changes to come (to those who have the sensitivity to read them), there are indications that a weather-change might have occurred in US politics. The bullet-point narrative is that the Donald Trump influence seems to […]

2022: A Tough Year For Tough People

2022 has been a tough year for many of us. It is perhaps hard to remember that at the end of 2021, we thought that Covid was over, the world was getting back to normalcy and that 2022 would be a year of hope and recovery. Twelve months on, not only has 2022 been a […]

Global Crisis Watch 204

For the last week, my attention has been on Ukraine and the Balkans. Both offer a highly concentrated dose of zeitgeist reality checks, but the Balkans also offers hope for a vision of post-conflict recovery and reconstruction, whether politically, socially, economically or even psychically. In Ukraine, the war seems to have reached a stage of […]

Global Crisis Watch 203

Last week’s Global Crisis Watch discussed the credibility of the possible use of tactical nuclear weapons by Russia as part of their Ukraine offensive. President Biden had used the word ‘Armageddon’ to describe the possibility, claiming that we were closer to the possibility of nuclear war than at any time since the Cuban missile crisis […]